Forecasting environmental protection legislation using cross-impact analysis (with R.Johnson), Long Range Planning, vol.17, no.6, 1984, pp132-138
This paper describes a study carried out to forecast and compare the development of environmental regulations in five industrialized countries up to the year 2000. More particularly the paper concentrates on the techniques used in the forecasting exercise, which included cross-impact analysis of models of the regulatory development process. Our experiences with this technique are reported and conclusions as to its value in forecasting environmental regulations drawn.